Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | NE -150 CCSU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +18 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | CCSU -3.5 (+21.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -2.2 (+15.8) | 131.7 (+10.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -0.6 (+17.4) | 138.4 (+3.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -0.5 (+17.5) | 138.6 (+3.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -0.4 (+17.6) | 136.7 (+5.3) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | NE 73 – 56 CCSU |
| Dec 20, 2023 | NE 79 – 74 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 25-7 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 14-2 |
| Home | 8-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-8 | 12-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 63.1 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#141) | 5.1 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#172) | 1.71 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#167) | 2.63 (#35) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#228) | 0.772 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.4% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 39.3% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.9% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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