Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | CCSU +170 NE -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +5 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | CCSU -0.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (+12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -0.9 (-5.9) | 136.8 (+16.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -2.8 (-7.8) | 137.2 (+15.8) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -2.2 (-7.2) | 138.9 (+14.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -2.1 (-7.1) | 138.5 (+14.5) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | NE 73 – 56 CCSU |
| Nov 16, 2024 | NE 80 – 62 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 9-7 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#247) | -0.1 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#255) | -0.35 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#267) | -0.19 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#239) | 0.497 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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