SMU
Mustangs
93
–
80
OT
FINAL
Neutral
Hoop Hype XL presented by: Basketball University
Texas A&M
Aggies
Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Over |
| Money | SMU +105 TA&M -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMU +13 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | SMU -0.8 (+12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMU -2.7 (+10.3) | 160.2 (+12.8) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMU -3.4 (+9.6) | 159.9 (+13.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMU -4.0 (+9.0) | 159.7 (+13.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMU -4.4 (+8.6) | 159.1 (+13.9) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2023 | TA&M 79 – 66 SMU |
| Dec 1, 2022 | TA&M 83 – 64 SMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMU | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-3 | 14-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.1 | 86.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 78.9 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#43) | 10.7 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.19 (#16) | 1.84 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.26 (#20) | 2.75 (#59) |
| RPI | 0.629 (#22) | 0.534 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMU | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 31.0% | 34.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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