Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | DAV +320 SMC -410 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +9 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | SMC -5.6 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -3.8 (-5.2) | 140.0 (-9.0) | 38% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | SMC -5.1 (-3.9) | 141.7 (-10.7) | 27% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | SMC -2.0 (-7.0) | 141.4 (-10.4) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -2.2 (-6.8) | 143.5 (-12.5) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2023 | SMC 89 – 55 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 27-6 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 16-2 |
| Home | 11-7 | 17-0 |
| Away | 7-5 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#132) | 12.5 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#66) | 3.20 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#77) | 4.79 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#75) | 0.671 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 40.1% | 39.5% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.9% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 37.4% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 35.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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