Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH -270 CBU +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +6 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -1.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (+26.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -2.3 (+3.7) | 143.2 (+32.8) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -1.8 (+4.2) | 141.6 (+34.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -1.7 (+4.3) | 142.6 (+33.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -0.8 (+5.2) | 145.1 (+30.9) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-9 | 15-0 |
| Away | 1-10 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#158) | 4.1 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#156) | 2.15 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#187) | 3.07 (#42) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#119) | 0.587 (#58) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 40.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 14.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 38.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 77.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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