← All models
Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
61–23 on winners
spread MAE 8.2
84 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+11.4 | 129.7 | 83% | 59–68 | ✓ |
|
|
+18.5 | 143.3 | 90% | 64–95 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.1 | 143.2 | 77% | 56–73 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.0 | 151.8 | 60% | 76–71 | ✗ |
|
|
+13.9 | 134.2 | 87% | 64–70 | ✓ |
|
|
+19.3 | 152.5 | 90% | 62–75 | ✓ |
|
|
-6.6 | 140.0 | 22% | 77–63 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.4 | 124.6 | 44% | 55–49 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.9 | 142.1 | 57% | 68–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.5 | 146.1 | 66% | 76–106 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.0 | 148.6 | 44% | 80–68 | ✗ |
|
|
+28.2 | 161.2 | 91% | 63–101 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.0 | 155.9 | 82% | 66–81 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.3 | 145.9 | 79% | 79–86 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.0 | 142.5 | 85% | 57–77 | ✓ |
|
|
+17.8 | 141.5 | 89% | 50–71 | ✓ |
|
|
-4.2 | 137.0 | 32% | 68–62 | ✓ |
|
|
+14.8 | 152.8 | 88% | 90–97 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.2 | 148.6 | 63% | 77–91 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.6 | 145.1 | 84% | 70–82 | ✓ |
|
|
-3.4 | 139.7 | 30% | 89–73 | ✓ |
|
|
-6.9 | 138.0 | 23% | 72–68 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.4 | 140.4 | 35% | 77–69 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.8 | 167.2 | 58% | 86–92 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.6 | 146.6 | 50% | 75–60 | ✗ |
|
|
+4.2 | 139.0 | 60% | 88–72 | ✗ |
|
|
+27.4 | 147.4 | 91% | 64–109 | ✓ |
|
|
-5.8 | 144.8 | 25% | 82–65 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.2 | 141.7 | 50% | 60–64 | ✗ |
|
|
-6.2 | 143.4 | 22% | 62–61 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.3 | 147.9 | 69% | 68–75 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.1 | 131.7 | 71% | 77–71 | ✗ |
|
|
-5.3 | 158.5 | 34% | 88–80 | ✓ |
|
|
+21.8 | 149.5 | 90% | 54–98 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.7 | 148.8 | 79% | 77–83 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.2 | 141.4 | 45% | 67–51 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.7 | 139.9 | 86% | 61–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.1 | 137.8 | 64% | 69–64 | ✗ |
|
|
+8.1 | 145.8 | 81% | 56–64 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.6 | 143.2 | 54% | 83–72 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.1 | 155.5 | 65% | 71–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.4 | 151.3 | 82% | 80–84 | ✓ |
|
|
-5.8 | 141.2 | 28% | 104–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.8 | 131.9 | 77% | 56–69 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.6 | 144.3 | 51% | 80–71 | ✗ |
|
|
+6.8 | 146.2 | 79% | 79–91 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.1 | 137.2 | 83% | 56–80 | ✓ |
|
|
+26.4 | 151.1 | 91% | 50–77 | ✓ |
|
|
-6.5 | 151.2 | 32% | 68–71 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.3 | 136.8 | 83% | 67–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.9 | 144.2 | 80% | 74–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.8 | 143.9 | 83% | 73–98 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.0 | 147.7 | 48% | 68–87 | ✓ |
|
|
+28.0 | 130.9 | 91% | 55–89 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.9 | 149.5 | 72% | 70–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.5 | 142.5 | 62% | 70–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+14.6 | 146.5 | 88% | 49–70 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.8 | 128.3 | 36% | 63–53 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.6 | 144.8 | 44% | 76–75 | ✗ |
|
|
+7.2 | 148.7 | 78% | 63–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.5 | 158.1 | 75% | 74–69 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.8 | 126.3 | 71% | 60–66 | ✓ |
|
|
+22.5 | 135.4 | 90% | 56–89 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.3 | 150.2 | 68% | 76–87 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.6 | 147.4 | 54% | 66–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.0 | 139.5 | 73% | 74–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.6 | 139.5 | 69% | 58–62 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.6 | 136.1 | 37% | 72–67 | ✗ |
|
|
+7.7 | 138.8 | 54% | 81–79 | ✗ |
|
|
-0.2 | 141.5 | 41% | 77–64 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.5 | 136.9 | 48% | 62–60 | ✗ |
|
|
+0.8 | 135.9 | 66% | 71–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.7 | 148.5 | 74% | 76–93 | ✓ |
|
|
+15.3 | 146.8 | 88% | 82–87 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.8 | 143.5 | 86% | 64–73 | ✓ |
|
|
-3.9 | 148.2 | 45% | 80–83 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.5 | 138.2 | 81% | 73–68 | ✗ |
|
|
+19.4 | 139.4 | 90% | 45–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+16.7 | 149.7 | 88% | 71–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.4 | 147.0 | 50% | 67–57 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.0 | 139.0 | 78% | 64–61 | ✗ |
|
|
+4.2 | 143.0 | 65% | 44–69 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.1 | 149.0 | 59% | 79–84 | ✗ |
|
|
-0.8 | 140.3 | 58% | 75–86 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.