Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | BUF +250 WKU -320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +17 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | WKU -6.3 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (+4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -5.8 (-11.2) | 144.8 (+2.2) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -6.2 (-10.8) | 140.3 (+6.7) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -7.1 (-9.9) | 141.9 (+5.1) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -6.6 (-10.4) | 145.6 (+1.4) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2021 | BUF 77 – 67 WKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUF | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-27 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 8-8 |
| Home | 2-13 | 12-2 |
| Away | 2-11 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.6 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -12.8 (#345) | -1.0 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.71 (#358) | 0.13 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.24 (#359) | -0.01 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#325) | 0.487 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUF | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 26.9% | 26.2% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.6% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 31.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.