Betting Lines
| Spread | BUF -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUF +10 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | BUF -1.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.9 (-14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -0.4 (-10.4) | 155.8 (-11.8) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -1.6 (-11.6) | 155.9 (-11.9) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -0.9 (-10.9) | 154.3 (-10.3) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -0.9 (-10.9) | 155.2 (-11.2) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2023 | WKU 82 – 65 BUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#177) | 5.7 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#205) | 0.44 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#223) | 1.16 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#207) | 0.532 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.1% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.