Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | WCU -163 UNCA +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +15 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | WCU -11.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (-13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -9.7 (+5.3) | 151.0 (-10.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -7.2 (+7.8) | 148.7 (-7.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -9.0 (+6.0) | 148.0 (-7.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -9.6 (+5.4) | 150.4 (-9.4) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2025 | WCU 80 – 73 UNCA |
| Dec 14, 2024 | UNCA 78 – 61 WCU |
| Nov 26, 2022 | UNCA 73 – 61 WCU |
| Dec 11, 2021 | UNCA 73 – 72 WCU |
| Nov 28, 2020 | WCU 83 – 81 UNCA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-4 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-2 |
| Away | 10-6 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#138) | -4.4 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#76) | -0.15 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#98) | -0.30 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#88) | 0.461 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 34.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.3% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 64.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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