Betting Lines
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | WCU -110 UNCA -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCA +1 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | WCU -2.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -2.0 (-3.0) | 143.1 (+1.9) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -1.9 (-2.9) | 145.1 (-0.1) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -2.7 (-3.7) | 142.8 (+2.2) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -2.3 (-3.3) | 143.1 (+1.9) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2025 | WCU 80 – 73 UNCA |
| Dec 14, 2024 | UNCA 78 – 61 WCU |
| Dec 9, 2023 | WCU 78 – 63 UNCA |
| Nov 26, 2022 | UNCA 73 – 61 WCU |
| Nov 28, 2020 | WCU 83 – 81 UNCA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#254) | -1.6 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#186) | 0.47 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#213) | 0.82 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#185) | 0.494 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 60.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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