Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCA -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | UNCA -355 WCU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCA +17 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | UNCA -12.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCA -12.4 (+4.6) | 145.8 (-6.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCA -9.7 (+7.3) | 147.3 (-8.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCA -11.0 (+6.0) | 145.4 (-6.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCA -11.5 (+5.5) | 144.3 (-5.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2025 | WCU 80 – 73 UNCA |
| Dec 9, 2023 | WCU 78 – 63 UNCA |
| Nov 26, 2022 | UNCA 73 – 61 WCU |
| Dec 11, 2021 | UNCA 73 – 72 WCU |
| Nov 28, 2020 | WCU 83 – 81 UNCA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCA | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 4-14 |
| Home | 13-1 | 7-7 |
| Away | 6-9 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 80.6 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#222) | -11.7 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#207) | -2.98 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#191) | -4.14 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#220) | 0.383 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCA | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 23.8% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.