Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | HARV -1000 ARMY +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +6 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | HARV -20.5 (-14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.2 (+4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -13.9 (-7.9) | 134.2 (-0.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -14.0 (-8.0) | 134.4 (-0.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -14.5 (-8.5) | 132.2 (+1.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -14.0 (-8.0) | 133.2 (+0.8) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | HARV 75 – 52 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 6-11 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 59.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#125) | -12.3 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.46 (#69) | -2.87 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#86) | -3.77 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#59) | 0.349 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 37.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 12.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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