Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | RAD -700 NCCU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +8 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | RAD -10.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (+18.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -8.6 (-0.6) | 140.9 (+15.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -9.2 (-1.2) | 141.4 (+14.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -9.1 (-1.1) | 140.9 (+15.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -7.0 (+1.0) | 139.5 (+16.5) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2024 | RAD 70 – 67 NCCU |
| Dec 2, 2022 | RAD 80 – 78 NCCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 9-5 |
| Home | 8-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 4-12 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 4-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#175) | -5.5 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#189) | -1.23 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#188) | -1.95 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#154) | 0.478 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 26.1% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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