Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | NCCU +140 RAD -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +3 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | RAD -1.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (-10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -2.4 (-0.6) | 139.9 (-2.9) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -2.6 (-0.4) | 142.7 (-5.7) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -2.2 (-0.8) | 141.7 (-4.7) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -1.7 (-1.3) | 139.3 (-2.3) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2023 | RAD 82 – 74 NCCU |
| Dec 2, 2022 | RAD 80 – 78 NCCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCCU | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 9-7 |
| Home | 10-4 | 10-3 |
| Away | 2-13 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#279) | 0.3 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#309) | 2.23 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.65 (#312) | 3.18 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.386 (#329) | 0.562 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCCU | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 26.4 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.5% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 57.8% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.3% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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