Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | LAF +162 LAS -195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +16 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | LAF -0.1 (-16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (-29.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAS -1.7 (-14.3) | 144.3 (-26.3) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -1.9 (-14.1) | 143.6 (-25.6) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -1.5 (-14.5) | 142.7 (-24.7) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAS -1.2 (-14.8) | 141.4 (-23.4) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2024 | LAS 81 – 60 LAF |
| Dec 21, 2022 | LAF 90 – 65 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAF | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 5-10 | 11-6 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.6 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#326) | -3.9 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.99 (#348) | 0.76 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.28 (#351) | 0.71 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.381 (#335) | 0.506 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAF | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 14.9% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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