Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | LAS -350 LAF +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAF +25 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | LAS -5.2 (-30.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.5 (+33.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAS -5.1 (-30.1) | 131.8 (+23.2) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -4.6 (-29.6) | 132.7 (+22.3) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -3.5 (-28.5) | 132.9 (+22.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAS -4.9 (-29.9) | 133.1 (+21.9) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2024 | LAS 81 – 60 LAF |
| Dec 9, 2023 | LAS 67 – 51 LAF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 11-23 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-7 | 5-7 |
| Away | 5-8 | 5-16 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#253) | -4.8 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#223) | -3.07 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#222) | -3.99 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#198) | 0.413 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 14.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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