Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | LAS -425 LAF +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +21 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | LAS -16.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.7 (+9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -14.1 (+6.9) | 130.2 (+10.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -11.2 (+9.8) | 132.1 (+8.9) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2023 | LAS 67 – 51 LAF |
| Dec 21, 2022 | LAF 90 – 65 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-6 |
| Away | 2-10 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#167) | -1.2 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#88) | -0.84 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#105) | -1.34 (#259) |
| RPI | — | 0.250 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 25.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 12.0% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 13.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 24.6% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 55.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 5.5% | 15.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.