Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
Pete Maravich Assembly Center · December 9, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread LSU -2.5 Away covered
O/U 144.0 Under
Money LSU -165 / KSU +140
Model Predictions
Spread Total LSU win
Actual KSU +15 135 Lost
Massey LSU -2.4 (-17.4)
Massey Totals 154.3 (-19.3)
Bradley-Terry 59%
Weighted B-T 79%
Baseline Plus ML LSU -3.0 (-18.0) 149.6 (-14.6) 58%
Baseline ML LSU -2.6 (-17.6) 151.2 (-16.2) 61%
Baseline Tuned ML LSU -2.3 (-17.3) 148.1 (-13.1) 61%
Efficiency Plus ML LSU -0.6 (-15.6) 146.6 (-11.6) 50%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 15, 2024 LSU 7665 KSU
Nov 24, 2022 KSU 6159 LSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LSU KSU
Overall 17-16 19-15
Conference 9-9 8-10
Home 12-6 14-3
Away 3-7 2-9
Neutral 2-3 3-3
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 76.4 72.2
Avg Pts Against 75.0 71.1
Massey 2.0 (#139) 5.1 (#93)
Bradley-Terry 0.30 (#159) 1.19 (#83)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.01 (#119) 1.16 (#111)
RPI 0.488 (#190) 0.558 (#94)
Shooting & Four Factors LSU KSU
FG% 46.5% 44.4%
3PT% 32.5% 32.1%
REB / G 35.9 41.1
OREB / G 10.6 14.7
AST / TO 0.72 1.14
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.1% 51.0%
TOV% 20.5% 19.4%
ORB% 32.7% 38.2%
FT Rate 31.7% 25.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.0% 48.5%
Opp TOV% 22.3% 18.3%
DRB% 66.0% 70.4%
Opp FT Rate 23.0% 20.3%

Game Analysis

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