Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Under |
| Money | WVU -225 DREX +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +6 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -0.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 117.9 (+8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -1.8 (+4.2) | 126.3 (-0.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -0.7 (+5.3) | 123.7 (+2.3) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -0.6 (+5.4) | 125.1 (+0.9) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -1.2 (+4.8) | 127.2 (-1.2) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-9 | 13-1 |
| Away | 0-9 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 67.1 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#212) | 3.1 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#272) | 0.52 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#252) | 0.28 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#238) | 0.535 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 26.2% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 31.0% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 43.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.7% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.5% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.