You'll work harder with a gun in your back, for a bowl of rice a day. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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29–23 on winners spread MAE 9.6 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
BYU @ Utah -3.9 151.6 51% 69–73 ✗
James Madison @ Old Dominion -8.2 155.5 23% 84–69 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ South Dakota +7.1 138.8 75% 73–78 ✓
Akron @ Northern Kentucky +0.6 131.4 50% 77–76 ✗
Western Illinois @ Green Bay +5.2 132.6 64% 68–59 ✗
Kennesaw State @ South Carolina Upstate -0.1 154.0 55% 84–77 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Purdue Fort Wayne +20.1 150.1 90% 80–89 ✓
Norfolk State @ Illinois State +4.0 131.8 56% 64–58 ✗
Sam Houston @ Missouri State +6.4 150.5 74% 60–69 ✓
South Dakota State @ Wichita State +3.7 143.4 67% 79–69 ✗
UCLA @ Villanova +7.7 129.7 75% 56–65 ✓
Pacific @ Fresno State +11.1 140.9 83% 56–89 ✓
Murray State @ Austin Peay -2.2 133.4 43% 49–53 ✗
Drake @ Nevada +2.8 144.2 56% 72–53 ✗
NJIT @ Wake Forest +19.5 149.5 90% 59–83 ✓
Idaho State @ Southern Utah +8.5 138.2 79% 74–82 ✓
Rutgers @ Seton Hall +5.0 133.5 66% 70–63 ✗
Belmont @ Middle Tennessee +1.0 142.4 51% 75–65 ✗
Notre Dame @ Marquette +19.8 137.6 90% 59–78 ✓
Cal Poly @ Weber State +10.6 130.1 85% 50–78 ✓
UTEP @ Oregon +15.2 143.0 87% 49–71 ✓
Idaho @ Utah Tech +9.2 141.3 79% 63–62 ✗
UC San Diego @ Pepperdine +4.5 139.5 73% 62–68 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ UNLV -2.1 139.6 38% 78–75 ✓
UC Irvine @ San Diego State +9.4 145.1 84% 62–63 ✓
Arizona State @ San Diego -2.3 143.8 49% 84–89 ✗
Gonzaga @ Washington +2.3 154.8 55% 73–78 ✓
North Texas @ Fordham -4.9 128.9 33% 59–60 ✗
Brown @ Providence +13.5 141.9 86% 54–74 ✓
Winthrop @ Little Rock +1.3 155.0 57% 85–68 ✗
Boston University @ Wagner +0.3 128.1 43% 73–59 ✗
Princeton @ Saint Joseph's -0.8 136.1 49% 70–74 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ Iowa State +23.7 148.3 90% 56–107 ✓
Colorado @ Miami +0.1 151.1 54% 90–63 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Ball State +4.7 134.4 62% 71–83 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Northwestern +19.0 136.6 90% 59–91 ✓
Rhode Island @ Charleston +10.4 146.7 84% 70–85 ✓
Alcorn State @ VCU +16.5 144.5 89% 58–86 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Chicago State -3.8 127.2 34% 66–50 ✓
Morehead State @ North Alabama +1.3 140.8 55% 86–77 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Eastern Illinois +8.8 136.4 72% 73–70 ✗
Memphis @ Texas A&M +9.8 149.4 81% 81–75 ✗
Long Beach State @ USC +11.9 157.1 82% 84–79 ✗
Ole Miss @ UCF +8.6 141.3 78% 70–68 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ East Tennessee State +10.1 137.4 84% 72–73 ✓
Michigan @ Iowa +6.7 158.6 71% 90–80 ✗
Elon @ UNC Greensboro +14.2 152.8 88% 73–82 ✓
St. John's @ Boston College -2.7 145.6 39% 80–86 ✗
Tennessee State @ Lipscomb +9.5 148.7 81% 71–78 ✓
Saint Francis @ Iona +16.4 133.7 88% 54–61 ✓
Tulsa @ Oklahoma State +3.0 142.3 61% 57–72 ✓
Michigan State @ Nebraska +2.7 136.3 68% 70–77 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.