Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -20.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | MARQ -2800 ND +1250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +19 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -23.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -19.8 (-0.8) | 137.6 (-0.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -19.2 (-0.2) | 135.7 (+1.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -20.7 (-1.7) | 135.5 (+1.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -20.4 (-1.4) | 136.6 (+0.4) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2022 | MARQ 79 – 64 ND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | ND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-13 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-8 |
| Away | 7-5 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 64.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 17.2 (#8) | -1.4 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.35 (#12) | -0.27 (#203) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.03 (#9) | -0.70 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.677 (#3) | 0.504 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | ND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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