Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | TA&M -333 MEM +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +6 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | TA&M -11.6 (-17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -9.8 (-15.8) | 149.4 (+6.6) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -9.9 (-15.9) | 149.1 (+6.9) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -9.7 (-15.7) | 149.7 (+6.3) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -11.2 (-17.2) | 150.6 (+5.4) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2022 | MEM 83 – 79 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-5 | 13-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 75.8 |
| Massey | 13.8 (#19) | 7.4 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#26) | 2.16 (#37) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.44 (#28) | 2.98 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.647 (#15) | 0.632 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 41.8 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 17.7 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 45.8% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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