Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | MEM -400 TA&M +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +4 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -10.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -8.2 (-4.2) | 147.7 (+14.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -10.3 (-6.3) | 149.2 (+12.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -10.0 (-6.0) | 150.1 (+11.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -9.4 (-5.4) | 149.9 (+12.1) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2023 | MEM 81 – 75 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 15-3 |
| Home | 13-2 | 15-1 |
| Away | 7-5 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#47) | 4.7 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.03 (#43) | 0.70 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.24 (#28) | 1.08 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.628 (#21) | 0.524 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 33.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 24.6% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 35.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.