Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -23.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +32 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | NU -22.8 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.5 (+14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -19.0 (+13.0) | 136.6 (+13.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -16.9 (+15.1) | 138.5 (+11.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -19.5 (+12.5) | 138.4 (+11.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -19.1 (+12.9) | 134.7 (+15.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 1-31 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 1-19 |
| Home | 15-2 | 1-11 |
| Away | 4-7 | 0-20 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 80.2 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#76) | -11.2 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#19) | -3.46 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.87 (#21) | -4.65 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.673 (#4) | 0.407 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.95 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 12.2% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.6% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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