Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | ODU +250 JMU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +15 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | JMU -8.7 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.9 (-15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -8.2 (-6.8) | 155.5 (-2.5) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -7.7 (-7.3) | 157.7 (-4.7) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -8.9 (-6.1) | 154.8 (-1.8) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -8.7 (-6.3) | 156.2 (-3.2) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | JMU 70 – 69 ODU |
| Dec 18, 2025 | ODU 77 – 68 JMU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | JMU 68 – 54 ODU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | JMU 74 – 60 ODU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | JMU 78 – 63 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 32-4 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 15-3 |
| Home | 5-10 | 14-1 |
| Away | 1-12 | 12-2 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 81.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#249) | 9.7 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#250) | 3.38 (#11) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#270) | 4.68 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#233) | 0.642 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 14.3% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.7% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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