Betting Lines
| Spread | GB -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | GB -150 WIU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +9 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | GB -11.5 (-20.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GB -8.8 (-17.8) | 133.2 (-6.2) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GB -8.4 (-17.4) | 134.1 (-7.1) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GB -8.4 (-17.4) | 133.7 (-6.7) | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GB -5.2 (-14.2) | 132.6 (-5.6) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2024 | GB 87 – 73 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-8 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#226) | -9.0 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#223) | -1.76 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#252) | -2.37 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#258) | 0.389 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 37.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 41.8% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.2% | 13.0% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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