Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | WIU -130 GB +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GB +14 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | WIU -17.7 (-31.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (+18.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -11.6 (-25.6) | 136.4 (+23.6) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -11.4 (-25.4) | 138.8 (+21.2) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -9.1 (-23.1) | 139.7 (+20.3) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2023 | WIU 68 – 59 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 2-18 |
| Home | 8-7 | 3-11 |
| Away | 4-11 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | W2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 80.6 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#148) | -6.8 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#127) | -2.21 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#144) | -3.34 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.310 (#310) | 0.375 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 25.5% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 25.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 5.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 16.9% |
| FT Rate | 15.2% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 79.3% | 60.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.7% | 32.0% |
Game Analysis
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