Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | CHST +140 STMN -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +16 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | STMN -3.1 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.7 (-8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -2.5 (-13.5) | 129.8 (-13.8) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -2.1 (-13.9) | 131.7 (-15.7) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -1.7 (-14.3) | 131.5 (-15.5) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -3.8 (-12.2) | 127.2 (-11.2) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2024 | STMN 98 – 76 CHST |
| Nov 12, 2022 | STMN 83 – 61 CHST |
| Nov 10, 2021 | CHST 77 – 72 STMN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHST | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 9-7 |
| Home | 6-5 | 12-2 |
| Away | 5-12 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#323) | -1.1 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.36 (#333) | -0.37 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.36 (#332) | -0.35 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.364 (#348) | 0.446 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHST | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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