Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
| Money | STMN -430 CHST +330 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +22 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | STMN -24.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -10.9 (+11.1) | 135.7 (+8.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -10.9 (+11.1) | 139.3 (+4.7) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2024 | STMN 98 – 76 CHST |
| Dec 10, 2023 | STMN 66 – 50 CHST |
| Nov 10, 2021 | CHST 77 – 72 STMN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 0-0 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-0 |
| Away | 4-10 | 3-20 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#61) | -5.7 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#163) | -0.43 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#160) | -0.66 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.750 (#10) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 25.4% |
| 3PT% | 40.9% | 26.5% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 32.5% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 18.2% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 5.2% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 7.6% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 62.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 48.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.