Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | STMN -5000 CHST +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +22 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | STMN -26.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+32.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -22.8 (-0.8) | 144.0 (+30.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -22.0 (+0.0) | 144.9 (+29.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -20.0 (+2.0) | 143.3 (+30.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -18.8 (+3.2) | 146.2 (+27.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2023 | STMN 66 – 50 CHST |
| Nov 12, 2022 | STMN 83 – 61 CHST |
| Nov 10, 2021 | CHST 77 – 72 STMN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 4-12 |
| Home | 14-0 | 3-7 |
| Away | 7-8 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 62.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#103) | -17.7 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#219) | -3.95 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#167) | -6.06 (#364) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#222) | 0.421 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 34.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 39.9% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 61.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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