Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 164.0 Under |
| Money | WASH +170 GONZ -205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +5 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -3.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.5 (-7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -2.3 (+2.7) | 154.8 (-3.8) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -3.5 (+1.5) | 152.2 (-1.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -3.8 (+1.2) | 152.8 (-1.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -3.7 (+1.3) | 154.2 (-3.2) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2022 | GONZ 77 – 60 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 14-2 |
| Home | 10-6 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.6 | 83.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#41) | 12.5 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#104) | 2.86 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#78) | 4.11 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#86) | 0.646 (#16) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 43.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 39.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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