Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | GONZ -1600 WASH +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +17 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -14.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -12.1 (+4.9) | 143.7 (-6.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -11.5 (+5.5) | 144.9 (-7.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -11.8 (+5.2) | 145.1 (-8.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -10.8 (+6.2) | 146.0 (-9.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2023 | WASH 78 – 73 GONZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-6 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 8-12 |
| Home | 15-1 | 12-6 |
| Away | 7-2 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 9-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 85.2 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 13.1 (#25) | 4.3 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#36) | 1.05 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.28 (#29) | 1.88 (#86) |
| RPI | 0.654 (#8) | 0.559 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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