Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | BC +188 SJU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +6 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -2.9 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (+13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -2.7 (+8.7) | 145.6 (+20.4) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -1.5 (+7.5) | 147.5 (+18.5) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -1.2 (+7.2) | 149.9 (+16.1) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -1.1 (+7.1) | 148.6 (+17.4) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2020 | SJU 97 – 93 BC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-16 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-6 | 11-4 |
| Away | 7-7 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#91) | 8.2 (#52) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#109) | 1.24 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#107) | 1.33 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#105) | 0.556 (#97) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 42.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 18.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 46.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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