Betting Lines
| Spread | BC -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
| Money | BC -145 SJU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +4 | 190 | Lost |
| Massey | BC -3.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (+46.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BC -0.5 (-4.5) | 142.2 (+47.8) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BC -1.2 (-5.2) | 143.5 (+46.5) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BC -0.5 (-4.5) | 143.9 (+46.1) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2023 | BC 86 – 80 SJU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-16 | 16-11 |
| Conference | 2-11 | 10-9 |
| Home | 3-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 0-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#111) | -1.9 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#75) | 0.86 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#68) | 0.88 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#43) | 0.625 (#34) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 23.6% |
| ORB% | 21.5% | 37.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 33.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 27.7% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.5% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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