Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | VILL -190 UCLA +158 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VILL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VILL +9 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | VILL -9.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.5 (-10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VILL -7.7 (+1.3) | 129.7 (-8.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VILL -7.8 (+1.2) | 133.9 (-12.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VILL -7.2 (+1.8) | 133.8 (-12.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VILL -7.8 (+1.2) | 132.6 (-11.6) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2021 | UCLA 86 – 77 VILL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VILL | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-6 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#49) | 4.6 (#98) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#110) | 0.50 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#80) | 0.62 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#77) | 0.468 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VILL | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 32.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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