Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
| Money | UCLA -160 VILL +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +9 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -12.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (+17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -7.6 (+1.4) | 149.7 (+13.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -9.6 (-0.6) | 145.0 (+18.0) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2023 | VILL 65 – 56 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 30-8 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 16-4 |
| Home | 14-1 | 12-1 |
| Away | 8-4 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 10-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 62.7 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#19) | 8.8 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#107) | 0.34 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#51) | 0.53 (#49) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 55.4% |
| 3PT% | 48.1% | 53.3% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 27.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 3.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.5% | 69.6% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 9.7% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 32.3% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.0% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 29.1% |
| DRB% | 83.7% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 4.7% | 12.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.