Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | USC -1400 LBSU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +5 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | USC -11.7 (-16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.3 (+4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -11.9 (-16.9) | 157.1 (+5.9) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -10.8 (-15.8) | 151.7 (+11.3) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USC -11.2 (-16.2) | 153.2 (+9.8) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -11.4 (-16.4) | 155.0 (+8.0) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2022 | USC 88 – 78 LBSU |
| Dec 12, 2021 | USC 73 – 62 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-9 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#53) | 1.6 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#77) | 0.65 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#76) | 0.89 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#80) | 0.500 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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