Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +11 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | USC -29.7 (-18.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (-15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -25.7 (-14.7) | 148.6 (-13.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -23.9 (-12.9) | 147.7 (-12.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -26.4 (-15.4) | 146.9 (-11.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -25.7 (-14.7) | 148.1 (-13.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2023 | LBSU 84 – 79 USC |
| Dec 15, 2022 | USC 88 – 78 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 12-3 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-3 |
| Away | 9-3 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 15.8 (#14) | -9.0 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.00 (#6) | -1.09 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.12 (#8) | -1.06 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.682 (#6) | 0.474 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 43.4 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.69 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.4% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.1% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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