Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | COFC -600 URI +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +15 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -7.8 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (+6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -7.5 (+7.5) | 145.4 (+9.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -7.3 (+7.7) | 144.9 (+10.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -6.7 (+8.3) | 145.1 (+9.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -10.4 (+4.6) | 146.7 (+8.3) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2024 | URI 91 – 53 COFC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-2 | 9-8 |
| Away | 10-2 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#154) | -1.9 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#111) | -0.65 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#111) | -0.62 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#93) | 0.483 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 13.0% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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