Betting Lines
| Spread | EIU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | EIU -175 CARK +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CARK +3 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | EIU -12.9 (-15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EIU -8.8 (-11.8) | 136.4 (+6.6) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -10.1 (-13.1) | 135.5 (+7.5) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -10.6 (-13.6) | 136.2 (+6.8) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -9.4 (-12.4) | 137.9 (+5.1) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | CARK 81 – 60 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-11 |
| Home | 9-6 | 5-10 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 80.3 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#283) | -13.6 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#273) | -3.46 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#282) | -4.37 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#266) | 0.330 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.7% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 63.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.9% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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