Betting Lines
| Spread | CARK -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CARK +21 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | CARK -3.3 (+17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CARK -2.1 (+18.9) | 137.4 (+3.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CARK -2.4 (+18.6) | 134.8 (+6.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CARK -1.7 (+19.3) | 136.3 (+4.7) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CARK -1.3 (+19.7) | 137.0 (+4.0) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2023 | CARK 73 – 70 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CARK | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-1 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#311) | -6.1 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.39 (#327) | -0.77 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.87 (#330) | -1.12 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#289) | 0.436 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CARK | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 36.8% |
| 3PT% | 26.7% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 41.4% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 34.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 58.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.