Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | UPST +160 KENN -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UPST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +7 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | UPST -4.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.4 (-1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -0.1 (-6.9) | 154.0 (+7.0) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UPST -2.7 (-9.7) | 152.3 (+8.7) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UPST -2.4 (-9.4) | 152.6 (+8.4) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UPST -2.7 (-9.7) | 154.2 (+6.8) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2022 | KENN 65 – 56 UPST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UPST | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 6-10 |
| Home | 6-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 83.7 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#281) | -4.7 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#236) | -0.46 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#259) | -0.82 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#190) | 0.452 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UPST | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 28.6 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 14.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 63.5% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.4% | 33.5% |
Game Analysis
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