Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | KENN -300 UPST +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +9 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | KENN -14.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (-21.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -9.6 (-0.6) | 138.5 (-17.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -10.5 (-1.5) | 141.8 (-20.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENN -11.3 (-2.3) | 141.4 (-20.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENN -11.3 (-2.3) | 140.5 (-19.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2023 | KENN 84 – 77 UPST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 10-8 |
| Home | 15-1 | 11-2 |
| Away | 10-6 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#192) | -10.2 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#144) | -0.49 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#172) | -1.22 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#162) | 0.471 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.9% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 28.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 58.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.4% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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