Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | SDSU -455 UCI +345 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +1 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | SDSU -9.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (-19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -9.4 (-8.4) | 145.1 (-20.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -9.0 (-8.0) | 143.1 (-18.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -8.4 (-7.4) | 144.1 (-19.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -8.2 (-7.2) | 144.7 (-19.7) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2022 | SDSU 72 – 69 UCI |
| Nov 28, 2020 | SDSU 77 – 58 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 17-3 |
| Home | 14-1 | 13-0 |
| Away | 6-8 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 12.3 (#28) | 7.7 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#21) | 1.64 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.63 (#25) | 2.08 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.665 (#7) | 0.579 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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