Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | SDSU -900 UCI +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +19 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | SDSU -23.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -15.4 (+3.6) | 133.3 (+1.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -18.5 (+0.5) | 133.0 (+2.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -16.2 (+2.8) | 128.9 (+6.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2023 | SDSU 63 – 62 UCI |
| Nov 30, 2022 | SDSU 72 – 69 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-5 | 18-9 |
| Conference | 14-3 | 10-4 |
| Home | 13-2 | 10-1 |
| Away | 6-2 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.9 | 64.1 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#81) | -6.6 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#30) | -1.80 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#27) | -2.95 (#186) |
| RPI | 1.000 (#1) | 0.000 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 40.0% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.0% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 60.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 39.5% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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