Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
| Money | ORE -900 UTEP +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +22 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -15.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-26.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -15.2 (+6.8) | 143.0 (-23.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -13.9 (+8.1) | 144.0 (-24.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -14.7 (+7.3) | 144.5 (-24.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -14.8 (+7.2) | 146.8 (-26.8) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 7-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 13-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 6.9 (#69) | -3.8 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#84) | -1.06 (#274) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#82) | -1.30 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#61) | 0.432 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 22.4% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 32.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 34.4% |
Game Analysis
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