Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -26.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | WAKE -20000 NJIT +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +24 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -23.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -19.5 (+4.5) | 149.5 (-7.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -17.8 (+6.2) | 148.4 (-6.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -18.8 (+5.2) | 147.7 (-5.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -19.0 (+5.0) | 148.6 (-6.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 7-21 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 3-13 |
| Home | 17-2 | 5-8 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 75.9 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#80) | -11.9 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#140) | -1.44 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#118) | -2.30 (#303) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#89) | 0.421 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 61.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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