Betting Lines
| Spread | BALL -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | BALL -133 SIUE +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BALL +12 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | BALL -3.5 (+8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.8 (+27.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BALL -2.2 (+9.8) | 133.0 (+21.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BALL -2.8 (+9.2) | 135.2 (+18.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BALL -3.4 (+8.6) | 135.4 (+18.6) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BALL -4.7 (+7.3) | 134.4 (+19.6) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2024 | SIUE 82 – 69 BALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BALL | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-7 | 12-2 |
| Away | 6-8 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#270) | -3.4 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#183) | 0.31 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#216) | 0.02 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#215) | 0.476 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BALL | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.2% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.1% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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