Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | SIUE -160 BALL +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +13 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -9.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.5 (+22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -7.5 (+5.5) | 137.4 (+13.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -8.3 (+4.7) | 135.4 (+15.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -7.6 (+5.4) | 136.0 (+15.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -6.8 (+6.2) | 137.1 (+13.9) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2023 | BALL 83 – 71 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-3 | 8-7 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#206) | -7.5 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#223) | -2.21 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#235) | -3.81 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#236) | 0.362 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 19.2% |
| FT Rate | 12.3% | 34.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 33.4% |
Game Analysis
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