Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | WEB -1000 CP +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +28 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -13.5 (+14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -10.6 (+17.4) | 130.1 (-2.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -10.2 (+17.8) | 131.9 (-3.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -10.6 (+17.4) | 132.5 (-4.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -9.7 (+18.3) | 131.8 (-3.8) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2022 | WEB 74 – 45 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 0-20 |
| Home | 12-2 | 3-11 |
| Away | 7-7 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L20 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#133) | -6.2 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#168) | -0.50 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#114) | -1.15 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#221) | 0.454 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.2% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.0% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 21.5% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.7% | 34.6% |
Game Analysis
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